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Can Bitcoin repeat a 2017-like rally as dollar correlation reverses?

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The Dollar Index disconnect from Bitcoin does not necessarily mean that BTC price is about to experience a big rally, historic data suggests. There is a common belief that when the U.S. dollar declines relative to other main global currencies, as measured by the Dollar Strength Index (DXY), the impact on Bitcoin (BTC) is positive, and vice versa. For instance, the DXY index dropped from 103.0 on Jan. 2017 to a 92.6 low on Aug. 2017, while Bitcoin rallied from $1,000 to $4,930 in the same period. But is there enough evidence to justify a bull run similar to 2016–17, as some analysts are arguing? But is there enough evidence to justify a bull run similar to 2016–2017, as some analysts are arguing? Is the Bitcoin-dollar inverse trend real? Traders and influencers frequently warn about this negative correlation and how a reversal of DXY will likely push the Bitcoin price higher. Investment research @GameofTrades_ recently posted a chart presenting the pattern in early 2023 and then rep...

Bitcoin's next rally may be imminent, on-chain analyst points out

On-chain data shows that an imminent Bitcoin rally could drive its price up to $32,000, says Glassnode lead-analyst James Check. After a long period of unusually low volatility, Bitcoin's next major price move is likely imminent and could drive BTC to $32,000, according to James Check, the lead on -chain analyst at Glassnode. That price level is where Bitcoin’s “true cost basis is sitting,” Check explained in an exclusive interview with Cointelegraph.  To calculate Bitcoin's average cost basis – the average price at which BTC was bought – Check and his team removed the coins that are lost forever from the calculation and focused on active Bitcoin investors.  “It's where the mean reversion level would be, so a rally to that level, to be honest, wouldn't surprise me,” he said. Despite this bullish scenario, Check also points out there is likely a large number of investors who are tired of the bear market and are waiting for Bitcoin to reach that level before sellin...