Posts

Showing posts with the label market analysis

Bitcoin ETFs: A $600 billion tipping point for crypto

Image
A new report indicated Bitcoin ETFs could release $600 billion in new demand — double Bitcoin's current market cap. Here's some math behind the estimates. A United States appellate court directed the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in August to reassess its denial of Grayscale's application for a Bitcoin exchange traded fund (ETF). A little-noted consequence of that decision is that it could open the floodgates for $600 billion in new cash to enter the crypto currency market. ETFs provide investors with a regulated way to gain exposure to different asset classes, including Bitcoin (BTC). The approval of a Bitcoin ETF could democratize investment in the crypto currency sector, drawing parallels to how the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF and the VanEck Brazil Small-Cap ETF have democratized investing in the Brazilian market. Despite some hurdles, market analysts anticipate potential Bitcoin ETF approval by early 2024. A Bitcoin ETF could unlock an estimated $600 billion i...

Ether death cross threatens more downside as ETH price trades at a key support level

Image
ETH’s technical and on-chain indicators point toward further downside, but there is a silver lining. Ether’s price fell this week, and several data points are beginning to suggest that further downside could be in store.  On July 24, Ether (ETH) experienced a drop close to its monthly low, reaching $1,825 amid Bitcoin’s (BTC) negative price action, as uncertainty loomed over macroeconomic conditions and a potential whale sell-off. Several on-chain and technical indicators point to further downside in ETH prices. However, the extent of this downward movement could be limited, considering the profit levels of existing holders and the decrease in ETH’s liquid supply. ETH on-chain analysis suggests more downside Since the beginning of 2023, Ethereum’s network value-to-transaction value (NVT) metric has indicated that the asset may have been overpriced. Glassnode’s NVT signal gauges the relative value of the Ethereum network by comparing the market price to the volume of on-chain trans...

Why is XRP price down today?

Image
XRP price is down today like other top crypto assets, as traders anticipate a Federal Reserve rate hike this week. XRP (XRP) price is down today , mirroring trends elsewhere in the cryptocurrencymarket as traders await the Federal Reserve rate decision in the week. XRP price drops amid rising dollar strength On July 24, XRP price dropped 8% to $0.68, underperforming the crypto market's 3.5% decline on the same day. The XRP/USD pair declined amid growing expectations that the Fed would raise interest rates by 25 basis points in its July 25-26 meeting. XRP/USD versus the crypto market's daily performance chart. Source: TradingView A higher rate environment is considered bad for cryptocurrencies like XRP. As a result, some traders have rotated out of high-cap cryptos to seek shelter in safer assets like the U.S. dollar, selling at the peak of the Ripple-led market rally on July 13. For instance, XRP's price climbed 75% on July 13 but was unable to extend its gains above $1...

Bitcoin's next rally may be imminent, on-chain analyst points out

On-chain data shows that an imminent Bitcoin rally could drive its price up to $32,000, says Glassnode lead-analyst James Check. After a long period of unusually low volatility, Bitcoin's next major price move is likely imminent and could drive BTC to $32,000, according to James Check, the lead on -chain analyst at Glassnode. That price level is where Bitcoin’s “true cost basis is sitting,” Check explained in an exclusive interview with Cointelegraph.  To calculate Bitcoin's average cost basis – the average price at which BTC was bought – Check and his team removed the coins that are lost forever from the calculation and focused on active Bitcoin investors.  “It's where the mean reversion level would be, so a rally to that level, to be honest, wouldn't surprise me,” he said. Despite this bullish scenario, Check also points out there is likely a large number of investors who are tired of the bear market and are waiting for Bitcoin to reach that level before sellin...

NFT aggregator Blur eyes 30% price pump by March amid airdrop euphoria

Image
BLUR price is also forming a Doji candlestick pattern on its four-hour chart, hinting at a bullish reversal ahead. Blur (BLUR) could rise by up to 30% by March 2023 owing to a mix of technical and fundamental factors. Blur airdrop hype Blur is a nonfungible token (NFT) aggregator that indexes digital art listings across various base marketplaces like LooksRare and OpenSea. In doing so, the aggregator allows users to trade across all NFTs marketplaces via a single interface. Since its launch in October 2022, Blur has become the leading NFT aggregator , accounting for 40%-60% of the daily NFT trading volume, according to data tracked by Messari. Blur versus other NFT marketplaces' volumes. Source: Messari The period has also witnessed the Blur team "airdropping" free BLUR tokens to users who have traded Ethereum-based NFTs in the past six months. On Feb. 15, Blur officially launched its native token of the same name, allowing airdrop recipients to trade it for fiat money a...

Modular blockchains could be the next hot crypto market trend in 2023

Image
As the crypto industry recovers, a new generation of modular blockchains could replace centralized bridges and exchanges. The public blockchain sector grew from less than a few million dollars in the last decade to a $1 trillion industry. However, one thing that the space has yet to solve is a decentralized and secure interoperable solution. Let's take Ethereum (ETH) to Bitcoin (BTC), the largest blockchain network, for example. Till today, centralized exchanges are the only viable solution for shifting from one chain to another. A centralized solution provider, BitGo, provides the largest pool of liquidity for Ethereum users to gain BTC exposure via Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC). The BitGo IOU accounts for over 93.6% of the Bitcoin bridged to Ethereum. Users must rely on BitGo partner platforms like centralized exchanges or CoinList to exchange BTC and WBTC. The dominance of WBTC exposes it to evident centralization and regulatory risks. RenBTC, a platform managed by Alameda Research, d...

Ethereum vs. Bitcoin: ETH price risks 20% drop if key support level breaks

Image
ETH price has repeatedly failed to break above a key trendline resistance and now Ethereum risks losing a strong technical support as well. Ether's (ETH) rally versus Bitcoin (BTC) is not only showing signs of exhaustion, but is also in danger of breaking below a key technical support level.  ETH slides vs. BTC in second half of January The ETH/BTC pair declined nearly 9.25% on Jan. 24 from its local top of 0.0779 BTC established on Jan. 11. Since the start of the year, Bitcoin is slightly outpacing Ether in USD terms, rising 38% versus 35%, respectively. ETH/BTC daily candle price chart. Source: TradingView Interestingly, Ether's pullback versus Bitcoin has landed its price at the bottom of its EMA ribbon range, as shown below. ETH/BTC weekly candle price chart. Source: TradingView The EMA ribbon indicator shows numerous exponential moving averages of increasing timeframe on the same price chart. Dropping below the ribbon range increases an asset's likelihood of seeing a...

What is a golden cross pattern and how does it work?

Image
A golden cross is one of the most popular bullish signals for cryptocurrency traders but it does not necessarily mean you should immediately enter the market. A golden cross pattern on the charts excites crypto traders for its promises of profitable opportunities ahead, largely due to its impressive success rate in traditional markets. The golden cross tends to preceded sustained uptrends in contrast with the bearish death cross pattern. For instance, since 1970, the S&P 500 has been returning about 15% gains on average in less than a year after a golden cross's occurrence. The golden cross's record in the benchmark crypto asset Bitcoin (BTC) is similarly impressive. Notably, the indicator has appeared seven times on Bitcoin daily charts since 2010, out of which five have led to massive bull runs. What is a golden cross pattern? Before discussing the golden cross, let's discuss its core component known as moving averages (MA). A moving average records the average chan...

Bitcoin’s bear market is far from over, but data points to improving investor sentiment

Image
Crypto investor sentiment saw a slight upswing, but the potential of a deep liquidity crisis in the sector could keep investors at bay. 2022 was a near-unprecedented year of extremes and black swan events for the crypto market, and now that the year is about to wrap up, analysts are reflecting on the lessons learned and attempting to identify the trends which may point to bullish price action in 2023.  The collapse of Terra Luna, Three Arrows Capital and FTX created a credit crunch, a severe reduction in capital inflows and an increased threat that additional major centralized exchanges could collapse. Despite the severity of the market downturn, a few positives have emerged. Data shows long-term hodlers and smaller-sized wallets are actively accumulating during this period of low volatility. While the market continues to see red, positives are emerging. Let’s dive in on the positive and negative data points. Low liquidity and losses abound When liquidity was flooding into the market...